Nicotine initiation risk among Polish youth - PolNicoYouth study results

Abstract   Smoking and the use of electronic cigarettes pose a risk of cardiovascular disease. The aim of the study was to analyze the initiation of these behaviors among Polish youth. The cross-sectional study was carried out in 2020 on a sample of secondary school students (N = 19241) representative of the Polish population, using the CAWI method. In order to estimate the relationship between the independent variables and the outcome variables, the Bayesian multivariate logistic regression was used in the R program using the brms library. Among Polish youth, age (lnBF = 303.55), smoking of traditional cigarettes by parents (lnBF = 117.29) and the type of school to which youth (lnBF = 36.15) and the province of residence (lnBF = 9.08) attend. Gender, size of the place of residence and parents’ education are not related to the risk of tobacco initiation with traditional cigarettes. When e-cigarettes were tried at least once in their life, a significant correlation was identified with a greater number of factors, such as age (lnBF = 124.87), smoking of traditional cigarettes by parents (lnBF = 56.48), province of residence (lnBF = 23.41), gender (lnBF = 16.53), use of heated tobacco (lnBF = 9.34) and e-cigarettes (lnBF = 9.13) by parents, size of the place of residence (lnBF = 8.61) and school type (lnBF = 7.26). Only the level of parents’ education remains unrelated. Factors related to the initiation and attempted use of nicotine products by adolescents indicate potential targets for the intervention. Parents who smoke and use e-cigarettes and heated tobacco should be made aware that their addiction is a strong risk factor for their children’s health. It can become a motivating factor for quitting the addiction. Key messages • Parental health behaviors are factors related to the initiation and attempted use of nicotine products by adolescents and indicate a potential target for a public health intervention. • Parents who smoke and use tobacco products should be made aware that their addiction is a strong risk factor for their children’s health. It can become a motivating factor for quitting the addiction.

Smoking and the use of electronic cigarettes pose a risk of cardiovascular disease. The aim of the study was to analyze the initiation of these behaviors among Polish youth. The crosssectional study was carried out in 2020 on a sample of secondary school students (N = 19241) representative of the Polish population, using the CAWI method. In order to estimate the relationship between the independent variables and the outcome variables, the Bayesian multivariate logistic regression was used in the R program using the brms library. Among Polish youth, age (lnBF = 303.55), smoking of traditional cigarettes by parents (lnBF = 117.29) and the type of school to which youth (lnBF = 36.15) and the province of residence (lnBF = 9.08) attend. Gender, size of the place of residence and parents' education are not related to the risk of tobacco initiation with traditional cigarettes. When e-cigarettes were tried at least once in their life, a significant correlation was identified with a greater number of factors, such as age (lnBF = 124.87), smoking of traditional cigarettes by parents (lnBF = 56.48), province of residence (lnBF = 23.41), gender (lnBF = 16.53), use of heated tobacco (lnBF = 9.34) and ecigarettes (lnBF = 9.13) by parents, size of the place of residence (lnBF = 8.61) and school type (lnBF = 7.26). Only the level of parents' education remains unrelated. Factors related to the initiation and attempted use of nicotine products by adolescents indicate potential targets for the intervention. Parents who smoke and use e-cigarettes and heated tobacco should be made aware that their addiction is a strong risk factor for their children's health. It can become a motivating factor for quitting the addiction. Key messages: Parental health behaviors are factors related to the initiation and attempted use of nicotine products by adolescents and indicate a potential target for a public health intervention. Parents who smoke and use tobacco products should be made aware that their addiction is a strong risk factor for their children's health. It can become a motivating factor for quitting the addiction.

Background:
Many countries have been severely affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, including Sweden, which has been in the spotlight regarding its policies and their impact on mortality and morbidity. Therefore, it is of high interest to measure the disease burden of COVID-19 in terms of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). DALYs have two main components: the years of life lost through premature death (YLL) and the number of years lived with disability (YLD). This study aims to measure DALYs due to COVID-19 in Sweden.

Methods:
This study used data from the nationwide multi-register observational study SCIFI-PEARL (Swedish COVID-19 Investigation for Future Insights -a Population Epidemiology Approach using Register Linkage) covering the entire Swedish population. The methodology used in the modelling and calculation of DALYs was based on the Global Burden of Disease guidelines, using Sweden-specific life tables for estimated life expectancies.

Results:
In Sweden, 152877 DALYs were lost to COVID-19 between March 2020 and October 2021, corresponding to 1447/ 100 000, 99,3% of which was attributed to YLL. DALYs loss occurred mainly among elderly groups with 66,78 % of DALYs being attributed to individuals above 70 years old. 57,6% of the lost DALYs occurred among men that lost more DALYs compared to females in all age groups.

Conclusions:
Similar to other countries, the burden of COVID-19 in Sweden is concentrated mainly among the elderly, which contributed to the highest DALY loss due to mortality. Yet, DALY loss remains lower for COVID-19 compared to other major noncommunicable diseases such as cardiovascular diseases and neoplasms. The contribution of YLD was minimal. However, YLD due to post-Covid is not well understood and long-term disability is likely still underestimated.

Key messages:
The burden of COVID-19 was mainly due to premature mortality in the older age groups. More research is needed especially on post-COVID disability to derive better estimates of YLD.